Trump leads in Florida and Arizona despite Biden stoking fears about abortion: Poll


Presidential candidate Donald Trump is beating incumbent President Joe Biden‘s polling in two states where abortion protections are a concern.

A new CBS News/YouGov poll found that out of some 1,510 Arizonans, even though abortion was ranked as the top sixth most important factor in who they will vote for president, 52% pledged their vote to Trump while the remaining 47% pledged to Biden. Out of 1,576 Floridians, abortion was ranked even lower as the seventh most important factor, and 54% were planning to vote for Trump with 45% for Biden.

Currently, Florida has a law banning abortion after six weeks, except in cases where the mother’s health is at risk. Arizona similarly made abortion illegal even in the case of rape and incest. The only exception is for mothers whose lives are at an immediate risk. Biden has made a concentrated effort to send members of his staff to these states in the name of the abortion-rights movement.

Concerns surrounding the economy seemed to reign supreme among respondents. When only registered voters’ responses were considered, 47% of Floridians reported their financial situation was better off when Trump was president, and 52% reported they were worse off under Biden. Then, 30% of registered voters in Arizona believed Trump cares a lot about the economic situation, while only 20% could say the same for Biden.

This follows the head-to-head polling from the New York Times and Siena College where Trump is up by 7 percentage points in Arizona, which is considered a swing state. The former president has a lead of 14 percentage points in Nevada, 10 points in Georgia, 7 points in Michigan, and 3 points in Pennsylvania. 

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Trump won Florida in the last two elections. Biden won Arizona in 2020, but Trump won the state in 2016.

The margin of error for the CBS News/YouGov poll was +/-3.3 points in Arizona and +/- 3.1 points in Florida.


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