“The Staggering Success of Vaccines”

Tara Haelle, Scientific American 10/15/24: The Staggering Success of Vaccines

Referenced article: A Shattock et al. Lancet 2024; 403: 2307–16. Open Access! Contribution of vaccination to improved survival and health:modelling 50 years of the Expanded Programme on Immunization

Some excerpts:

“Vaccines are the first step toward health equity in many parts of the world…Around the globe the measles vaccine has saved nearly 94 million lives over the past 50 years. This and other vaccinations have revolutionized global health…”

“A May study in the Lancet estimated that vaccines against 14 common pathogens have saved 154 million lives over the past five decades—at a rate of six lives every minute. They have cut infant mortality by 40 percent globally and by more than 50 percent in Africa. Throughout history vaccines have saved more lives than almost any other intervention. And vaccines’ promotion of health equity goes far beyond preventing death. The Lancet study found that each life saved through immunization resulted in an average 66 years of full health, without the long-term problems that many diseases cause. Vaccines play a role in nearly every measurement of health equity, from improving access to care, to reducing disability and long-term morbidity, to preventing loss of labor and the death of caretakers…”

“If you have no money, then you want the best bang for the buck, and it’s going to be immunization,” says Seth Berkley, former CEO of Gavi. “For every dollar you invest in immunization, you get $54 of benefit.”

“In late 2019, when a novel coronavirus detected in Wuhan, China, kicked off one of the largest, deadliest pandemics in a century, everyone looked to the same solution: a vaccine. COVID’s devastation hit poorer countries with less developed health-care systems particularly hard, and in wealthier countries people from underserved and low-income communities suffered higher rates of illness, death and economic hardship…”

“A 2022 study in the Lancet Infectious Diseases estimates that COVID vaccination worldwide prevented 19.8 million excess deaths.”

My take: This is a terrific article and particularly timely given the growing influence of anti-vax proponents. Not only have vaccines prevented millions of deaths, they have helped prevent chronic complications (eg. disability after meningitis). The reduction in mortality in the charts is likely UNDERESTIMATED. Many other vaccines were not included in this estimation: smallpox, human papillomavirus, (HPV), influenza, SARS-CoV-2, Ebola, mpox and other vaccines.

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